Battlegrounds 2011 : Scottish National Party - Britain Votes
The real question for the SNP will be how many of their defence seats can they hold (which read as a list of “How on earth did Labour lose that?”) Almond Valley (the new Livingston constituency) according to the calculations only went SNP by four votes in 2007 and if Labour cannot win that then Iain Gray will have serious problems on his hands. The latest polls suggest that on the constituency level there has been a swing of 2% from Lab to the SNP (suggesting that the SNP will pick up six Labour seats) but the real swing has been from Con to SNP (7%) and from Lib Dem to SNP (9%) and add to that a Con to Lab swing of 5% and a Lib Dem to Lab swing of 7% and it is clear that Scotland is on course to become a two party constituency state (with only possibly Shetland staying in Lib Dem hands and Eastwood staying in Conservative hands)
